Sim time08:00:00
Speed60×
Shift A · Day 1

Laminator 2 Membrane Fatigue · 08:00–12:00

Cluster cluster_laminator2_membrane_fatigue
Modules affected
23
13 Scrap · 4 B · 0 C · 6 clean
Defect rate
74%
across the cluster
Avg signature match
74%
coherence 96%
Net impact
$2,410
risk $3,910 − salvage $1,500
Root cause: Laminator 2 membrane health drifted from 0.94 (06:00) to 0.78 (action threshold) by 11:59. X-bar R warning crossed at 09:14; engineer accepted membrane swap recommendation but scheduled it for 12:00. 23 modules processed in the degraded-vacuum window; 17 developed bubble defects, 6 escaped.

Excursion timeline · 08:00 → 12:00 · 240 min

Vacuum Hold Pressure · Laminator 2
X-bar R chart
warn 8 · action 12 mbar
nominal 4warnactionModule lamination cyclemod_showcase_bubble_001 · Scrap · 198,199mod_cluster_laminator2_002 · Scrap · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_003 · Scrap · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_004 · Scrap · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_005 · Scrap · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_006 · Scrap · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_007 · Scrap · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_008 · Scrap · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_009 · Scrap · 199mod_cluster_laminator2_010 · Scrap · 199mod_cluster_laminator2_011 · Scrap · 199mod_cluster_laminator2_012 · Scrap · 199mod_cluster_laminator2_013 · Scrap · 199mod_cluster_laminator2_014 · B · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_015 · B · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_016 · B · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_017 · B · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_018 · A (clean)mod_cluster_laminator2_019 · A (clean)mod_cluster_laminator2_020 · A (clean)mod_cluster_laminator2_021 · A (clean)mod_cluster_laminator2_022 · A (clean)mod_cluster_laminator2_023 · A (clean)00:0007:5515:5000:002.847.8412.83
Vacuum hold pressure drifted from nominal 4 mbar to 6.1 mbar by 09:14, crossing the 8 mbar warning during the showcase module's cycle (peak 7.8 mbar). After membrane replacement at 12:00, returned to 3.8 mbar.· Green dashed: If predictive maintenance triggered at 06:00.
Membrane Health · Laminator 2
I-MR chart
warn 0.85 · action 0.78 index
nominal 1warnactionModule processedmod_showcase_bubble_001 · Scrap · 198,199mod_cluster_laminator2_002 · Scrap · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_003 · Scrap · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_004 · Scrap · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_005 · Scrap · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_006 · Scrap · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_007 · Scrap · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_008 · Scrap · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_009 · Scrap · 199mod_cluster_laminator2_010 · Scrap · 199mod_cluster_laminator2_011 · Scrap · 199mod_cluster_laminator2_012 · Scrap · 199mod_cluster_laminator2_013 · Scrap · 199mod_cluster_laminator2_014 · B · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_015 · B · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_016 · B · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_017 · B · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_018 · A (clean)mod_cluster_laminator2_019 · A (clean)mod_cluster_laminator2_020 · A (clean)mod_cluster_laminator2_021 · A (clean)mod_cluster_laminator2_022 · A (clean)mod_cluster_laminator2_023 · A (clean)00:0007:5515:5000:000.760.891.03
Membrane health degraded steadily from 0.94 toward action threshold 0.78. Crossed warning 0.85 at ~08:00 — six hours before scheduled replacement.
Lamination Bubble Rate · Laminator 2
p-chart
warn 0.02 · action 0.04 proportion
nominal 0.005warnactionThis module's lotmod_showcase_bubble_001 · Scrap · 198,199mod_cluster_laminator2_002 · Scrap · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_003 · Scrap · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_004 · Scrap · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_005 · Scrap · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_006 · Scrap · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_007 · Scrap · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_008 · Scrap · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_009 · Scrap · 199mod_cluster_laminator2_010 · Scrap · 199mod_cluster_laminator2_011 · Scrap · 199mod_cluster_laminator2_012 · Scrap · 199mod_cluster_laminator2_013 · Scrap · 199mod_cluster_laminator2_014 · B · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_015 · B · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_016 · B · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_017 · B · 198mod_cluster_laminator2_018 · A (clean)mod_cluster_laminator2_019 · A (clean)mod_cluster_laminator2_020 · A (clean)mod_cluster_laminator2_021 · A (clean)mod_cluster_laminator2_022 · A (clean)mod_cluster_laminator2_023 · A (clean)00:0023:4523:3100:00-0.000.020.04
Per-lot bubble defect proportion crossed action threshold 4% during the affected 4-hour window, returning to nominal after the 12:00 membrane swap.
Scrap with defect B/C-tier UnaffectedEach tick = one cluster module's processing time

Affected modules · 23 total

sort
mod_showcase_bubble_001
Showcase
#1/23 · 08:00
Scrap
198199
sig 94%502 W
3 bubbles top-right + 2 frame-edge — classic membrane fatigue signature.
mod_cluster_laminator2_002
#2/23 · 08:10
Scrap
198
sig 91%511 W
2 active-area bubbles in same corner.
mod_cluster_laminator2_003
#3/23 · 08:20
Scrap
198
sig 88%508 W
Bubble cluster top-right.
mod_cluster_laminator2_004
#4/23 · 08:31
Scrap
198
sig 86%514 W
Three smaller bubbles — same weak corner.
mod_cluster_laminator2_005
#5/23 · 08:41
Scrap
198
sig 84%519 W
Active-area bubbles — Scrap.
mod_cluster_laminator2_006
#6/23 · 08:52
Scrap
198
sig 82%522 W
Top-right concentration.
mod_cluster_laminator2_007
#7/23 · 09:02
Scrap
198
sig 79%527 W
Single large bubble.
mod_cluster_laminator2_008
#8/23 · 09:13
Scrap
198
sig 77%530 W
Active-area bubble.
mod_cluster_laminator2_009
#9/23 · 09:23
Scrap
199
sig 73%534 W
Inactive-area bubble at frame edge.
mod_cluster_laminator2_010
#10/23 · 09:33
Scrap
199
sig 71%537 W
Frame-edge bubble.
mod_cluster_laminator2_011
#11/23 · 09:44
Scrap
199
sig 69%540 W
Inactive-area bubble — combined classification.
mod_cluster_laminator2_012
#12/23 · 09:54
Scrap
199
sig 67%542 W
Frame edge.
mod_cluster_laminator2_013
#13/23 · 10:05
Scrap
199
sig 65%544 W
Small inactive-area bubble.
mod_cluster_laminator2_014
#14/23 · 10:15
Tier B
198
sig 62%551 W
Below 15 mm² — B-tier.
mod_cluster_laminator2_015
#15/23 · 10:26
Tier B
198
sig 60%553 W
B-tier bubble.
mod_cluster_laminator2_016
#16/23 · 10:36
Tier B
198
sig 58%555 W
Marginal bubble.
mod_cluster_laminator2_017
#17/23 · 10:46
Tier B
198
sig 56%558 W
Small bubble — B-tier.
mod_cluster_laminator2_018
#18/23 · 10:57
Tier A
no defect
sig 0%615 W
Processed during cycles with better vacuum hold (post-09:54 spike) — escaped.
mod_cluster_laminator2_019
#19/23 · 11:07
Tier A
no defect
sig 0%616 W
Processed during cycles with better vacuum hold (post-09:54 spike) — escaped.
mod_cluster_laminator2_020
#20/23 · 11:18
Tier A
no defect
sig 0%617 W
Processed during cycles with better vacuum hold (post-09:54 spike) — escaped.
mod_cluster_laminator2_021
#21/23 · 11:28
Tier A
no defect
sig 0%618 W
Processed during cycles with better vacuum hold (post-09:54 spike) — escaped.
mod_cluster_laminator2_022
#22/23 · 11:39
Tier A
no defect
sig 0%619 W
Processed during cycles with better vacuum hold (post-09:54 spike) — escaped.
mod_cluster_laminator2_023
#23/23 · 11:49
Tier A
no defect
sig 0%620 W
Processed during cycles with better vacuum hold (post-09:54 spike) — escaped.

Cluster Bayesian coherence — is this one cluster or many?

Confidence that all 23 modules share a single causal root:96%
Predicted signature
Spatial bubble cluster co-located with weakest seal corner (top-right of Laminator 2 chamber)
Observed signature
17 of 23 modules show top-right bubble concentration; 6 unaffected
Average signature match across affected modules: 74%. High coherence means the defects look like the same phenomenon — strong evidence of a common cause.

Economic impact

Total modules affected23
Scrap13
B-tier4
C-tier0
Unaffected (A-tier)6

Revenue at risk$3,910
Salvage realised$1,500
Net impact$2,410

If the platform's recommendation had been accepted at the right moment, projected savings:~$2,049 across this cluster.

Cluster-wide recommendations

Adjust predictive maintenance triggers — fire when membrane health crosses 0.85, not 0.78
process
Membrane health crossed 0.85 at 06:00; recommendation should have fired ~3 h earlier than 09:16.
Earlier swap → all 17 cluster defects prevented in the equivalent future event.
Add 'cycles since membrane swap' tile to Laminator 2 operator UI
station
Membrane was at 2,840 cycles, last swap recommended at 3,000 — operator did not see the trend.
Visible degradation curve enables proactive scheduling.
Move planned membrane swaps to start-of-shift, not lunch break
shift
12:00 swap window placed degradation peak in the most-trafficked hours.
Aligns swap window with low-throughput period.
This cluster page shows how a single upstream excursion produces a coherent pattern across many modules. In production, every excursion that exceeds SPC thresholds is automatically grouped into a cluster, and cluster-level analysis runs continuously.